In the fiscal year starting April 2017, assemblers under contract with Nintendo are now planning to manufacture 16 million or more Switches, up from an initial plan for eight million, said people briefed on the plans. Even after accounting for inventory, that suggests Nintendo believes it can sell significantly more than 10 million units during the 12-month period, they said, beating expectations of many analysts.

A Nintendo spokesman declined to comment.

First-year sales above 10 million would clear the threshold that analysts say must be reached to generate interest from outside software producers, who in turn can deliver a fresh stream of titles to keep consumers interested in the device. Nintendo has been fending off pressure from some investors who say the Kyoto company should get out of the console business and focus on making games using its collection of famous characters.

Nintendo Chief Executive Tatsumi Kimishima has said the company would ship two million units globally this month, but one person familiar with production said 2.5 million or more is likely.

Nintendo plans to discuss the Switch’s March sales and the outlook for the coming year when it reports its latest earnings on April 27. It tends to offer conservative forecasts to avoid the need for downward revisions.

Sales of the original Wii console, which hit the market in November 2006, reached 20 million units by the end of 2007 after two holiday seasons. Its motion-sensor controllers and fitness board attracted many first-time console players.

Sales of the Switch could pick up further when more games go on sale. Nintendo saved some of its popular franchises for later releases.

Among those scheduled for this year are the third-person shooter game “Splatoon,” planned for summer, and an action game featuring Mario the plumber for the holiday season. A game in the “Legend of Zelda” franchise was already released simultaneously with the Switch.

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