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标题: [业评] 【挖个坑】IDC说PS3将会在2012年获胜 [打印本页]

作者: BD    时间: 2008-5-23 17:22     标题: 【挖个坑】IDC说PS3将会在2012年获胜

http://www.ps3fanboy.com/2008/05 ... nt-console-in-2012/

CNET的原文
http://news.cnet.com/8301-13772_3-9948454-52.html



[ 本帖最后由 BD 于 2008-5-23 17:25 编辑 ]
作者: 狗娃    时间: 2008-5-23 17:23

然后呢??
作者: YY小狸猫    时间: 2008-5-23 17:23

2012?估计偶已经玩上下代主机了
作者: Virtue    时间: 2008-5-23 17:24

怎么听着很蠢的感觉
作者: jinwei8108    时间: 2008-5-23 17:26

是的..因为2011年就玩儿的到xbox的下代主机了
作者: BD    时间: 2008-5-23 17:26

虽然分析师不如这里的软饭们专业,但是至少唧唧歪歪了很长一篇。
还做出了走势图(顶楼更新走势图)
人家说从09开始就是PS3和Wii较劲了,XO就开始垫底了。
作者: 恨水无痕    时间: 2008-5-23 17:27

别人都出下代主机了,神机不战自胜

[posted by wap, platform: UCWEB]


作者: 谁家那个小那谁    时间: 2008-5-23 17:28

MS要是还没啥作为(游戏独占和根除三红),很有可能di :D
作者: 古兰佐    时间: 2008-5-23 17:28

这不叫挖个坟.这应该叫留个坟或者手下淫比较好.
作者: dogsoldier    时间: 2008-5-23 17:28

把自己埋了.............
作者: 天师教教徒乙    时间: 2008-5-23 17:29

赞2012年获胜。。。。,快了,还有4年就到了
作者: moonworm    时间: 2008-5-23 17:30

LZ@2008


LZ@2012

作者: YY小狸猫    时间: 2008-5-23 17:31

引用:
原帖由 BD 于 2008-5-23 17:26 发表
虽然分析师不如这里的软饭们专业,但是至少唧唧歪歪了很长一篇。
还做出了走势图(顶楼更新走势图)
人家说从09开始就是PS3和Wii较劲了,XO就开始垫底了。
这样啊?貌似有分析师预测过去年神机就能反超,更有甚者预言XB的头一个圣诞都挺不过去。预言家勘比咱么国家的地震局砖家啊,后知后觉尚可,预测不如赖蛤蟆。
作者: hugang    时间: 2008-5-23 17:32

图上不是09年就获胜了吗?
作者: 宝塔震河妖    时间: 2008-5-23 17:33

看着趋势图,09年开始井喷,然后连喷4年,太赞了
作者: dogsoldier    时间: 2008-5-23 17:33

引用:
原帖由 moonworm 于 2008-5-23 17:30 发表
LZ@2008


LZ@2012
喷了
作者: 批量生产的恐龙    时间: 2008-5-23 17:35

引用:
原帖由 moonworm 于 2008-5-23 17:30 发表
LZ@2008


LZ@2012
图神
作者: 十年后海啸    时间: 2008-5-23 17:41

引用:
原帖由 天师教教徒乙 于 2008-5-23 17:29 发表
赞2012年获胜。。。。,快了,还有4年就到了
看我ID
作者: silverhoof    时间: 2008-5-23 17:45

moonworm 的图太神了
作者: yalpbz    时间: 2008-5-23 17:50

09年的神机比12年的XO还多
大胜,完胜
作者: 极品三红    时间: 2008-5-23 17:55

为什么从没看见有分析师说360会赢?
作者: max3Dmaya    时间: 2008-5-23 17:56

只剩一个脑袋露在地面上的神机饭们都说PS3已经获胜了
作者: WANNZ    时间: 2008-5-23 17:57

引用:
原帖由 极品三红 于 2008-5-23 17:55 发表
为什么从没看见有分析师说360会赢?
+1
作者: gutt    时间: 2008-5-23 18:07

2012年是关键词
作者: 平野綾    时间: 2008-5-23 18:26

几年后的wii如此凄惨....
作者: 苍月    时间: 2008-5-23 18:40

CENT是猪头三吗????
作者: 旁观饭    时间: 2008-5-23 18:43

12楼图赞
作者: kiddy-grade    时间: 2008-5-23 18:53

我对你们的无知有所知,你们对我所知一无所知
作者: alvinnote1    时间: 2008-5-23 19:07

ps3和xo都是失败者,这是已经确定的了
作者: 天铘神剑    时间: 2008-5-23 19:28

引用:
原帖由 十年后海啸 于 2008-5-23 17:41 发表


看我ID
你自己说过,你的ID不就是SONY高层当众拉的屎么?这有什么好看的?

真不明白你为什么会用这种东西做自己的ID
作者: 天铘神剑    时间: 2008-5-23 19:30

引用:
原帖由 max3Dmaya 于 2008-5-23 17:56 发表
只剩一个脑袋露在地面上的神机饭们都说PS3已经获胜了
事实上现在在日本欧洲PS3都已经压倒XO了

也就中国的这群D版饭嘴硬而已
作者: 风之勇者    时间: 2008-5-23 19:40

2012年大概XBOX1080都有消息了……
作者: rocktyt    时间: 2008-5-23 19:58

引用:
原帖由 天铘神剑 于 2008-5-23 19:30 发表


事实上现在在日本欧洲PS3都已经压倒XO了

也就中国的这群D版饭嘴硬而已

作者: yalpbz    时间: 2008-5-23 19:59

Wii发售以前
分析家们是怎么预测的来着
作者: 必须跨过这道坎    时间: 2008-5-23 19:59

2012年新主机发售,挖坟吧:D
作者: 光之翼    时间: 2008-5-23 20:07

胜个JJ,不是说2012年是末日么
作者: tianxianbaobao    时间: 2008-5-23 20:13

引用:
原帖由 天铘神剑 于 2008-5-23 19:30 发表


事实上现在在日本欧洲PS3都已经压倒XO了

也就中国的这群D版饭嘴硬而已
这是即成事实,而且是毁灭性压倒


作者: allensakura    时间: 2008-5-23 20:17

挖墳的潛力很大
作者: primos    时间: 2008-5-23 20:28

引用:
原帖由 天铘神剑 于 2008-5-23 19:30 发表


事实上现在WII已经横扫全球了

也就天朝的这群高清饭嘴硬而已

作者: 地质小学    时间: 2008-5-23 20:36

分析师好象还说过2010年M和N要推出新机呢...
作者: RestlessDream    时间: 2008-5-23 20:46



Cnet回复众生相:

索饭
引用:
by PFreak  May 21, 2008 9:01 AM
$399 for a PS3 buys you a whole lot more than $349 for an Xbox. The PS3 is, in fact, the cheaper machine if you want similar specs.
索尼御用文人
引用:
by ralfthedog  May 21, 2008 9:08 AM
Why are people upset at a $400 game system. That may sound like allot of money, however, it is only the cost of one gallon of gas. If you need the money to buy a PS 3, just ride the bus to work for one day.
任饭
引用:
by michael_o  May 21, 2008 4:57 AM PDT
Whoever wrote this must be the statistician for Hilary's campaign. The Wii is outselling the PS3 4:1 in Japan; only lately have they caught up where there seem to be a few on the shelves of some stories -- PS3's and 360's are stacked up tall as a person. This generation's contest is over: it's Nintendo by a landslide.
软饭
引用:
by aaroberts  May 21, 2008 6:09 AM PDT
Pidgeon's analysis is inane and he?s obviously being paid by Sony for it. No one even mentioned Xbox live which is the major reason people go with Xbox? idiot.
数据饭1
引用:
by X-C3PO  May 21, 2008 6:03 AM PDT
IDC normally provide an "guessed" data to confuse people or try to lead people to do something.
数据饭2
引用:
by DehumanizerBR  May 21, 2008 10:45 AM
These forecasts are ridiculous. The Ps3 will finish 2008 with 23,5 kk units sold? It need 1,4 kk per month sonce now to achieve this number at the end of the year, it's completely nonsense. If the person who made this projection didn't think well even about the number of 2008, I think about the the next years... lol
任黑
引用:
by aemarques  May 21, 2008 7:07 AM PDT
Sorry, but the Wii is NOT a Next Gen console: no high definition video, no media center, no nothing. I very much doubt that it will have staying power.
索黑
引用:
by megustansalchichas  May 21, 2008 8:48 AM
i was a ps fan gen 1 and gen 2 -lots of games, lots to choose from. then the ps3 hit and the price was ridiculous. then when they brought down the price they took out ps2 compatibility -***? i've heard of brand loyalty, but i'm not stupid, it's just a toy. With the ability to play online games and a much larger library of old school arcade titles the Xbox looked more attractive -I purchased, and am impressed by the service, if not the hardware. make it more fun and people will buy -because that's the purpose of a TOY. So it should be no surprise that people are moving to purchase something that promises to make it even more fun to play against others. Imagine marble madness against a friend with the wiimote -I can't wait. why do people argue about these things like they're mutually exclusive -aren't most kids nowadays waaaay too spoiled with all the toys they could ever want? not to mention adult kids, who purchase most of these things. For the price of a top end PS3 you can buy a wii today and an xbox next year, and be able to play everything except ps3 only titles. no big loss there. Until the ps3 shows some smarts -actual fun games at a good price, it deserves to be in third place.
高清游戏饭
引用:
by None51  May 21, 2008 8:06 AM
Nintendo is king, at least until xb and ps3 come down in price, and figures at this point are misleading, xb has been on the market for years, the other two just came out much later and demand is still relatively high. When prices catch up, you will see xb AND ps3 overtake Nintendo!
日厂必胜论
引用:
by juuken2  May 21, 2008 11:39 AM
This article is rubbish. If anything, I believe that MGS4 will drive sales and give Sony the momentum that is needed. I also believe that Nintendo will stay in first place, however Sony will move to second place. And seriously, the PS3 is going to get a price cut by next month.
黑钱万能信众
引用:
by rpsanders  May 21, 2008 12:53 PM
Clearly this was a Fan Boy advertisement for the PS3. The first look at that initial projections chart spells it out quite nicely. Since when did c-net get so overrun by fan boys and stop giving useful and analytical insight.
地域轮者
引用:
by snipa4lyfe  May 21, 2008 3:51 PM
There is no possible way the PS3 will sell that many. The Xbox 360 and Wii are too competitive in America, while the Wii and DS are basically alone on the Japanese charts. PS3 is strongest in Europe, and I guarantee Europe will never have the capacity to gobble up more than 30 million PS3s, and even that is a high number in itself.
微软再抢跑论者
引用:
by swiggins  May 21, 2008 8:04 PM
So called analysts have been wrong about this 3 way race every step of the way. You sir are forgetting to mention that by 2011 MS will by pushing out their "NEW" console, that will make this generations graphics look old and gray. What your doing is GUESSING yet again, and it's weird, because every time you guess, you put Sony up on a pedestal. The PS3 is not the ps2, . . people are not rushing to replace their dvd collections with bluray and as brand loyal as gamers might be, they are also very fickle. . . could it be that all the so called analysts just don't get it? it's been 3 years and 60 million combined units in this gen. on consoles, . . do you think maybe a 2 or 3 way market might be the way this is headed? It wouldn't be the first time an industry has split and splintered for a generation before the next big thing is released. . . . I think this gen. won't last half as long as you guys expect, and who comes out on top is anyones guess, . . now stop trying to be a mystic and stop telling the future, . . you've been wrong for almost 3 years.
砖家抨击者
引用:
by Turk2  May 22, 2008 8:18 PM
So we have another analyst who knows nothing about the video game industry making an analysis. Score one for the guys who cant even talk the talk!
三红饭
引用:
by ahickey  May 21, 2008 4:39 AM PDT
A genuine question on Xbox 360 shipments. Does the 10+million include the units they had to ship to cover the quality problems they had or are they new sales? Nothing I have read has made this clear to me (or is it just me)
热爱环保的索饭
引用:
by cgamboak  May 21, 2008 8:24 AM
I love PS3 but not buying any japanese goodies until they stop the wales kiling, 1000 authorized for this year only....
多么熟悉的逻辑,多么相似的下限。地球是平的。洗洗睡吧。

p.s. 另外,不管什么饭,有一点共识是一样的:这yy文实在是 ridiculous
作者: 比卡丘    时间: 2008-5-23 20:59

原来明年才喷啊,哦
作者: 责任编辑    时间: 2008-5-23 21:15

这个也太弱智的分析了
作者: linorex    时间: 2008-5-23 21:18

引用:
原帖由 moonworm 于 2008-5-23 17:30 发表
LZ@2008


LZ@2012
人才.....

作者: lkskk    时间: 2008-5-23 22:17

就算是看这个图2012年PS3在总销量上还是远远落后于WII吧,当然,PS3 2012年以后还可以继续卖5年以上.所以到最后的最后还是胜定了
作者: 狗娃    时间: 2008-5-23 23:30

12L
作者: mcghost    时间: 2008-5-24 01:58

LZ忘记贴一张图了





注意最后12%正确率的Billy Pidgeon是本文作者。

看了这个表格我真希望他预测360明天就停产。
作者: Rainheart    时间: 2008-5-24 02:33

引用:
原帖由 moonworm 于 2008-5-23 17:30 发表
LZ@2008


LZ@2012
图喷了
作者: max3Dmaya    时间: 2008-5-24 18:39

引用:
原帖由 mcghost 于 2008-5-24 01:58 发表
LZ忘记贴一张图了





注意最后12%正确率的Billy Pidgeon是本文作者。

看了这个表格我真希望他预测360明天就停产。
正确率低算个屁,只要喊出了神机饭的心声,哪怕喊的人是在头上插天线的脑残,BD都得照捧不误
作者: wei89wei    时间: 2008-5-24 19:22

期待啊,只有4年就可以看到井喷血洗海啸了
作者: ooo    时间: 2008-5-24 19:26

12L强图,叉包引文,47L强图,太精彩了
作者: xtpl    时间: 2008-5-24 19:41

只要是有利于神机的预测,就是客观的,公正的,最能代表广大群众的……
作者: westlost    时间: 2008-5-24 20:58

期待海啸……
作者: 江户川柯南    时间: 2008-5-24 21:00

2012年。。。。到时候我肯定在玩720.。
作者: billh7    时间: 2008-5-25 11:10

12%的正确率,也就是说88%的错误率,88%的预测与结果相反。

这么一推断,360和wii 有88%的可能性在2012获胜,几率很高啊
作者: max3Dmaya    时间: 2008-5-26 03:03

纯引:

记得三国10还是三国9,如果实在拿不到诸葛亮做军师怎么办?

找一个智力12的SB做军师,将其忠心度降至70以下,他提供的任何建议都是错误的
作者: yalpbz    时间: 2008-5-26 08:32

引用:
原帖由 max3Dmaya 于 2008-5-26 03:03 发表
纯引:

记得三国10还是三国9,如果实在拿不到诸葛亮做军师怎么办?

找一个智力12的SB做军师,将其忠心度降至70以下,他提供的任何建议都是错误的

作者: 小水    时间: 2008-5-26 12:09

今年欧洲市场尘埃落定,2009稳超三红机,2012年三红720濒临退市
作者: 谁家那个小那谁    时间: 2008-5-26 12:11

引用:
原帖由 小水 于 2008-5-26 12:09 发表
今年欧洲市场尘埃落定,2009稳超三红机,2012年三红720濒临退市
你那震了吗?脑袋晃糊涂了吧 :D
作者: GAYBL    时间: 2008-5-26 12:34

引用:
原帖由 max3Dmaya 于 2008-5-26 03:03 发表
纯引:

记得三国10还是三国9,如果实在拿不到诸葛亮做军师怎么办?

找一个智力12的SB做军师,将其忠心度降至70以下,他提供的任何建议都是错误的
哈哈!原来可以这样。




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