TGFC Lifestyle - Powered by Discuz! Board

标题: [新闻] 日本游戏销量初步预测 [打印本页]

作者: guoang 时间: 2007-11-12 16:40 标题: 日本游戏销量初步预测

http://www.vgchartz.com/news/news.php?id=631
When compiling weekly data for Japan, ioi uses a bevy of sources. By Sunday Night (East Coast USA time), both first day data and preliminary weekly data is available for analysis. Taking both into account, here is an early take on how some of the figures will look this week. These figures are not to be taken as gospel, just an early take on approximately where the market will be for the week.

Software sales are quite interesting this week in the preliminary data.  Two notable stories will be worth watching this week – the sales of Super Mario Galaxy, and the sales of Mikuni Makoto Unrivaled 5 for PS3 and Xbox 360.  Both games seem to be off in the preliminary data, and for those who remember, there was an instance when the data had Simple Series 2000 selling over 1,000,000 units before a correction.  If a similar correction is made this week, this article will be updated.

Wii Software – Super Mario Galaxy is the only Wii game to make the preliminary top twenty this week.  Using the same extrapolation as last week (which ended up slightly high), Super Mario Galaxy sold 34,000 to 40,000 units this week.  It is possible that the retailer providing this data simply sold out of the game, as there seems to be no other explanation for a drop in sales from 40k per day (in four days of release SMG sold 130,000 day one, and ended up with ~250/260k for the week) to sales of 6k per day (which is why this data is likely at least partly in error at the moment).  Wii hardware should be 10-20% lower than last week, at 30,000 to 34,000 units.

PS3 Software – In the wake of the new model of PS3, four PS3 titles were in the preliminary top twenty this week.  Mikuni Makoto Unrivaled 5 sold 190,000 to 230,000 units this week.  A special edition of the same game sold 11,000 to 15,000 units.  Ratchet and Clank sold 13,000 to 17,000 units it its debut.  Lastly, a new Tom Clancy game sold 8,000 to 12,000 units.  With the new hardware model (and resulting cheaper pricing) and given the software volume, PS3 hardware should be up significantly this week – to 25,000 to 40,000 units – although this is assuming the software sales are not in error for the week.

Xbox 360 Software – Two Xbox 360 titles were in the preliminary top twenty this week.  The Xbox 360 version of Mikuni Makoto Unrivaled 5 sold 25,000 to 30,000 units this week.  Ace Combat 6 sold an additional 6,000 to 10,000 units.  Xbox 360 hardware should remain at an elevated level – 13,000 to 17,000 units for the week.

PS2 Software – Five PS2 titles were in the preliminary top twenty this week.  NBA Live 08 led the way with sales of 9,000 to 12,000 units.  Volleyball Worldcup sold 4,000 to 7,000 units.  Super Robot Wars Commander the 2nd sold nearly the same amount as the previous title.  Dragon Ball Z: Sparkling Meteor sold 3,000 to 5,000 units, while Ar Tonelico sold roughly the same number of units.  PS2 hardware should remain flat at around 10,000 units.

PSP Software – Four PSP titles were in the preliminary top twenty this week.  Dracula X Chronicles debuted with sales 18,000 to 22,000 in its debut.  Gundam Battle Chronicle sold 7,000 to 10,000 this week.  Older titles such as Monster Hunter Portable 2 and Metal Gear Solid Portable Ops each sold 6,000 to 10,000 units each week.  PSP hardware sales should remain at around 60,000 units this week.

DS Software – Four DS titles were in the preliminary top twenty this week.  Mario Party DS debuted to sales of 160,000 to 200,000 units in the preliminary data this week.  The DS version of Final Fantasy Tactics sold 25,000 to 35,000 units this week.  The Trap of Murderous Intent sold 10,000 to 14,000 units, while a new Tamagotchi title sold 7,000 to 11,000 units this week.  DS hardware sales should remain at around 80,000 units.

某处的无责任预测
Wii
超马银 34000-40000
PS3
三国无双5 190000-230000，特别版 11000-15000
瑞奇叮当 13000-17000
XBOX360
三国无双5 25000-30000
王牌空战6 6000-10000
PS2
NBA LIVE08 9000-12000
PSP
恶魔城18000-22000
NDS
马8 160000-200000

Wii 30000-34000
PS3 25000-40000
XO 13000-17000
PSP 60000
NDS 80000

作者: rocktyt 时间: 2007-11-12 16:43

不翻译XHW

作者: alfredo 时间: 2007-11-12 16:44

神机要喷了

作者: hudihutian 时间: 2007-11-12 16:45

有无双多少要喷一下吧

作者: zj87813096 时间: 2007-11-12 16:45

XO上会有那么多人买三国无双5吗？

作者: hsu 时间: 2007-11-12 16:45

PS3版20多W????

作者: FoxfoO 时间: 2007-11-12 16:49

王牌空战的预测数肯定不对~~~

作者: zj87813096 时间: 2007-11-12 16:49

原来无双可以喷这么多呀

作者: palapin 时间: 2007-11-12 16:49

比较合理..

作者: 牡丹 时间: 2007-11-12 16:50

三国无双不好说，其他的基本合理

作者: 燕市游徒 时间: 2007-11-12 16:52

“Mikuni Makoto Unrivaled 5 ”。。。???
why did the author translate the dynasty warriors series to that stupid name?
what's up with him?

[ 本帖最后由 chaosking 于 2007-11-12 16:57 编辑 ]

作者: guoang 时间: 2007-11-12 16:58

TheSource says:
I think it is Dynasty Warriors but I wasn't 100% so I left the title as it appeared with the translation tool.
Posted on: 11/12/07, 03:08

作者好像是拿某个翻译软件搞一便再润色的

作者: 燕市游徒 时间: 2007-11-12 17:02

引用:

原帖由 guoang 于 2007-11-12 16:58 发表
TheSource says:
I think it is Dynasty Warriors but I wasn't 100% so I left the title as it appeared with the translation tool.
Posted on: 11/12/07, 03:08

作者好像是拿某个翻译软件搞一便再润色的

omfg,he can only use the shxtty translation tools...
i must laugh at him!!! loudly!!!

[ 本帖最后由 chaosking 于 2007-11-12 17:06 编辑 ]

作者: 这还是一个马甲 时间: 2007-11-12 17:02

ps3版355高估了

作者: 梦之少年 时间: 2007-11-12 17:24

马银明显不合理！

作者: 金碧辉煌 时间: 2007-11-12 17:41

A9说PS3喷到6位数了

作者: razgriz 时间: 2007-11-12 17:42

ac6首周不是7W多吗？

作者: 2047 时间: 2007-11-12 17:45

无双不太对吧

作者: guoang 时间: 2007-11-12 17:48

这个是最新一周，根据某些店结果进行的预测，马银和ACE6都是第二周了

作者: BlackGod 时间: 2007-11-12 17:48

急什么，等忍魔

作者: adamth 时间: 2007-11-12 18:29

周一预测周末，现在的人真强，Up-to-minute

作者: senna 时间: 2007-11-12 18:34

觉得可能性不太高啊！！！

作者: JINGWEI 时间: 2007-11-12 18:41

这贴纯属个人YY
上周还说WII销售6-10万台，马银26-31万
一点准都没有

个人以为355卖不了那么多

作者: 金碧辉煌 时间: 2007-11-12 20:05

不是品切了么

作者: silence 时间: 2007-11-13 13:03

第一个漏了个0吧？

欢迎光临 TGFC Lifestyle (http://bbs.tgfcer.com/)